FAQs (frequently asked questions) updated
February 16, 2009
Who created this website?
This website was by “Benson”. I am a
private
investor, living in the United States. I have been investing
in
mining stocks for 7 ½ years. I am not a rich guy,
not
yet. I have a full time professional job. I do this
on the
side. I have no relationship to the popular Gold Writer
“Richard Benson”. I don’t even
follow his
writings (only because of lack of time).
I do not deal with the physical metals, I only buy and sell the mining
stocks. My portfolio is 100% invested in this sector (or in
cash). I do not have the time to follow other sectors, so I
don’t.
I post on the Yahoo message boards as
“BensonInvestor”. Many people on the
Yahoo board know
me from 2001–2003, when I was posting a popular commentary
titled
“Gold Stocks 101 for New Investors”. On
StockHouse, I
have been posting as “BensonLurker”. On
InvestorVillage, I am BensonAnalyst.
I have had some good success with picking Junior mining companies, and
sharing my Analysis with investors in this sector. In 2005,
my
biggest focus was a small Junior named Southern Star Resources
(SSR.V). SSR provided a 40x (4,000%) gain to investors
in the next 2 years. I recently posted on
InvestorVillage,
looking back at the gains in SSR.
What is the "Campbell Resources Stakeholders Association"?
We are a group of dedicated Campbell Shareholders.
We have organized, and are
in communication. As
a tight group, we hold about 10% of the
company’s
shares (over 30 million shares). We have agreed to vote as a
single voting block via proxy, at Board Meetings or Special Meetings.
We will “feel a need” if there is a significant
corporate
development that needs to be defeated.
Updated Clarification: Monday, February 16, 2009
Two years after the creation of the Campbell Resources Stakeholders
Association (CRSA), what has actually happened with the CRSA is very
different from what is described above. The group has evolved
into a highly energized, passionate group of Activists that are
operating with little central coordination.
What is called the CRSA is now become more of a center for education
and information, NOT an organized group acting with a central
agenda. Our anger and commitment (as individuals) is actually
stronger now. But our internal organization has drifted
apart.
We have absolutely no agreement among ourselves to vote a certain way
in any possible upcoming shareholder vote. And we have absolutely
no active plans to petition Campbell's Board of Directors to change the
membership of the Board. I (Benson) have a personal opinion that
the Campbell’s entire Board should resign immediately, but that
is my personal opinion.
If there is another group of shareholders that wishes to enlist us (team up with us), and
get us to agree to a certain voting agenda, the possibility of that
exists. But this outside group will need to help pay for legal
assistance for our group, as we would follow SEC 13D registration
requirements with absolute respect for the law. This situation does not exist at the present time.
I still relish the idea of a leveraged buy-out of Campbell at a price
of around $2.00 a share. If that happened, the new owners could kiss
the current group of Executives goodbye. But an initiative like
that would have to occur with absolute compliance with Securities Laws
in the United States and Canada.
Hey André: If you can’t do the job, why not let
someone else take over? You and René and Warren Holmes
still own CCH shares, and this new group (whoever that might be) will
get all the mines up and running. Your personal shares will rise
in value - you will profit in the end.
A question for André Fortier: If there really are no
economic ore bodies as described in all of your SEC and Sedar reports,
how come you haven’t started to take legal action against all of
the Consultants (including Nuinsco?). Your
(André’s) willingness to just lie down and accept so much
failure (while the Insttuaoins buy every share they can get their hands
on) is very suspicious. There has been $30 - $50 million invested
here in t last 3 years. If the reports were wrong, then I believe
that Campbell’s Management needs to start filing lawsuits against
their Advisors (or Management is to blame).
Or why don’t you (André) just liquidate the company and
have a final settlement? The Copper Rand mill is worth about $200
million, the tax loss carry-forward has a value of about $30 million
($120 million in nominal value), and the mines are worth at 10
– 100 times more than what is on the Balance Sheet.
A final settlement would be sweet (far more ASSETS than the DEBT), so
shareholders would have plenty to divide up among themselves. My
figure of $0.50 (fifty cents) a share in liquidation value would be on
the low side. Why are you guys holding out? Could it be
because there is actually $1 or 2 BILLION in operating profits waiting
for the group that can take control of Campbell? Maybe?
As proof of this clarification, I point to the following: There
was an individual posting under the name "Denaliguide”
(Denali). He disappeared from the scene in late 2008, and
does not even participate on Campbell’s message boards
anymore. It was Denali that was compiling the share count numbers
(the number of shares held by Activist shareholders). I (Benson)
was never in possession of current or accurate numbers. As seen
on the message boards, we were last trading insults, not cooperating in
anything.
As for Denali, he probably stopped counting a long time ago. And
I personally have no idea who owns what right now – we stopped
exchanging that information a long time ago.
As additional proof, let me point out that the CRSA has had “full
private message board” (Facts and Figures) for over a year.
In late 2008, after I started arguing with Denali, he locked me out
(kicked me off) the full private message board. Conversations
continued on that board for many weeks, without my participation.
This is another example of the fragmentation that has naturally
occurred with the CRSA.
I can’t even get an email reply from “Cv14” these
days! And “TJTHEMAN” has argued with me over
what he considers to be a good price target for CCH shares (my price
target is a minimum of $2 - $5).
I am emphasizing that we (the CRSA) is as committed as ever to this
cause. My real point here is that we now come together for
education and the sharing of information only. There is no
organized group with any intent to vote (with one voice) on
anything.
We might very well own at least 10% of Campbell’s shares –
but the “WE” is a highly fragmented group of individuals,
all acting with their own personal goals in mind. We are
definitely NOT in coordination, communication, or agreement on the
issue of voting or selling our shares.
---- End clarification dated Monday, February 16, 2009 -----------
Why was this website created?
My main motivation is personal investment profit.
A group of us
shareholders have become angry at some things that have happened with
Campbell, and we are mildly suspicious of Management.
We
have NO definite proof of any improper intent. Wherever you see
comments made, they are really just educated guesses at what is going
on.
This website is an effort to “shine a light” on
Campbell,
and communicate the story (the opportunity for profit) to other
investors around the world.
Readers can be fairly certain that I own most of the stocks that I
write about. I don’t think there is anything wrong
with
that, as long as I disclose it, and stay honest in my
commentary. Right now, all of my focus is on
Campbell
Resources, because I think their situation is so unique (and so ripe
for investment gain).
You guys have established that “Campbell
doesn’t want
to promote themselves”. If that’s the
case, why
should I be buying the stock of a company that doesn’t want
to
promote themselves?
Easy answer: We think the situation will change
soon.
Blue-chip” Institutions like Sprott Asset Management would
not be
buying CCH shares so aggressively if they didn’t think that
Campbell would be able to promote themselves when the time was right.
(You can Google “Sprott Asset Management” and
“John Embry”, if you don’t know who they
are.)
We think that Campbell will start their promotion soon, but we want to
see it NOW. There’s no reason for Campbell to be
dragging
their feet, unless maybe certain groups haven’t finished
their
buying yet. We have waited long enough – many of us
have
been invested in CCH shares for over a year.
Take note that there are many corporate events coming up soon, all
dealing with Operations - like production startups.
The
shares won't stay low in the face of positive news.
Nobody should worry about Mr. Fortier's abilities (or lack of
abilities) to promote this company. If he can’t do
the job
(when they are ready for him to do it), then we may suddenly hear that
he decided to retire (he is close to retirement age). That
kind
of change happens all the time in corporations. I would wish
him
a comfortable retirement.
These Institutions know what they are doing. They now own 80%
of
this company (those numbers have been documented in my
StockHouse
posts).
The Institutions have bought over 300 million shares of this company
(if you include warrants). There is no way they could ever
get
out of those positions (“distribution”) without a
radically
different price and volume level in CCH. They know it.
What is your CCH target share price?
My personal target price is between $2 and $5 a share. I hope
to
see this share price around the time that the Copper Rand and Corner
Bay projects are at “full production”. I
invite
everyone to read my Fundamental Analysis – there is a link on
the
home page.
The biggest variable in determining target price is “what PE
multiple will the market pay?” I believe that the
market
will value CCH as a gold producer, where the average PE rations are
between 20 and 40. A PE ratio of 60 is not out of the
question
for a gold producer, if they have something really exciting going on.
The fact that Campbell has arranged royalties on 3 of their former
properties (Pitt Gold is not a pure royalty, but participation) would
qualify a something “really exciting”.
Royalty income
is considered the “holy grail” in this
industry. Just
study the market valuations of Royal Gold (NYSE:RGLD), or study the
history of a company named Franco-Nevada (since taken over).
What are your best examples that that the
company might be down playing things?
Updated
Dec. 12th:
Several
more recent examples, for example... in 1995 there was an official
company press release that documented a Gold Resource of least 550,000
ounces GOLD at Copper Rand. I have calculated that this
resource would actually represent over 1 million ounces of Gold,
because 1) It was in addition to known reserves at the time, and 2)
everything gets recalculated upwards with higher gold prices.
But
mysteriously, the company doesn’t want to talk about this,
and no recent company documents refer to this resource in any
meaningful way. The link to this press release is on the home
page.
Link
5 pieces of Evidence (and current news)
regarding the 1 million+ ounce Gold Resource at Copper Rand
- The press comments by Mr. Fortier after the rock fall. It
was
absolutely ridiculous for a CEO to be saying that, in my
opinion. Read the “Chronicles of the Down
Play” on
this website.
- The apparent reluctance (not proven) to reveal accurate on-going
costs at their mines.
- The apparent reluctance to promote their own product, even after
promising shareholders that such promotion would now start.
- The failure to issue a press release on the recent high grade gold
discovery at Joe Mann
- The apparent “dragging out” (our opinion only) of
the CCAA issue, long past the dates originally given.
Why might they be down playing things?
This is all a guess – we have no solid proof of
anything. It’s all opinion.
1) The primary reason (guess) would be to give the Institutions time to
buy more shares before the price moves up. Insiders are also
probably taking advantage of the low prices (we have seen recent
Insider buying reported).
2) There may be a group of Institutions that may be hoping that small
retail shareholders get frustrated and sell their CCH shares.
More shares for the “big boys” to scoop
up.
People should also remember that we are entering the slow period
(summer) for mining stocks. They may be hoping (praying) that
some CCH holders sell now, just as the sector pulls back in general.
But small shareholders should not be so quick to sell. My
last
“home run” Junior stock pick (SSR.V, now GEA.TO)
started
it’s move in late Spring, and never look back. When
the
Fundamentals are right, and the stock is undervalued, it
doesn’t
matter what time of year it is.
3) There may actually be a “back room” plan to try
to
takeover Campbell, or do a leveraged buy-out (LBO), while the shares
are cheap. It’s a theory – we have NO
evidence of
that. That theory fits nicely with the observation that
Campbell
has made some moves that would NOT naturally lead to good earnings in
the 1st or 2nd quarters.
What would you guys do if a take-over or Leveraged Buy out
plan was suddenly announced?
If the price was right, we might just let it happen.
It’s
called capitalism.
Many of us would sell out
shares at the determined price, and move on. If it was a
“swap” for shares of the
Acquiring company,
we would probably evaluate that new company, and maybe hold
those
shares.
But if we felt that the price was too cheap, we would fight them every
step of the way.
Guaranteed:
“hell hath no
fury” greater than this group of Shareholders , if we get
phucked
out of our expected gains by the Campbell Board of Directors.
The Shareholders Group has already been making contacts in the
media. We have also been spreading our story by
other
means.
We would also invite the TSX Regulators in, and tell them exactly where
to look. The main question we would raise is whether there
has
been Internal Conflicts of Interest and/or failures to disclose
information that should have been disclosed to shareholders.
We
would have many things to closely scrutinize.
We might also lend a hand to an outside group that expressed interest
in making a counter offer. Remember that the
“Campbell
Shareholders Group” now controls at least 10% of the
outstanding
CCH shares, and that number will grow.
And as a real long-shot – the Shareholder Group might
possibly
have an opportunity to participate in a counter offer, with a Financial
Backer. It’s a long-shot, but would anyone here
like to be
a partner in the LBO of Billion dollar mining company?
[note to
Management: the longer the share price stays low, the longer
these ideas germinate in people’s minds.]
As far as raising the issue of Insider Conflicts of Interest, many of
these issues have the risk of personal legal liability (for Board
Members} associated with them. The Board of Directors would
be
best advised to conduct Campbell’s activities in a manner
"beyond
reproach". We are watching their every move, and deeply want
to
see Campbell be successful in their stated corporate mission.
What if the reason this is all happening is because the
company may
want to give Campbell employees a chance to buy shares?
Don’t you [Benson] feel empathy and concern for the miners?
I hope the Miners buy lots of shares, and I hope they all
prosper. I have nothing against the Miners at all.
But they
have also had plenty of time to make their share purchases –
It’s been many months since the financings closed.
And the
company can give them options, and add a Share Purchase Plan for all
employees (great idea!).
The biggest issue here is one of “free and fair”
markets
for all. It is Management's absolute
responsibility to
generate value for shareholders (that may even be part of
the definition of a "public company").
What other things might Campbell Management be down
playing?
1) I think that Corner Bay will turn out to have a much larger copper
resource than Campbell Management is willing to talk about.
They
have already verified a copper Resource of over 250 million pounds of
copper (Nuinsco- NWI.TO gave some exact numbers in their most
recent report).
But the current resource estimate is only from the shallow
depths of the
deposit. People can study the Corner Bay drill
results, and see
the depths for themselves. Compare to the depths at Copper
Rand. Then look at the drill hole map in the
Prospectus. I
think it's also in the 2006 Annual Report. The full Geologist
Technical Report in available at www.Sedar.com, dated September 2006.
My “blue-sky” model for Corner Bay (after about 2
years) is
for 2 – 3 ramps, and annual production of 30 – 40
million
pounds. They have the copper, and it’s shallow
depth.
Why limit themselves to production of only 16 million pounds a year?
In all your analysis, remember that Corner Bay earnings will be split
50/50 with Nuinsco (not the case for the Copper Rand mine –
that’s 100% owned by Campbell).
I think that Mr. Fortier would dismiss
this “3 ramps at Corner Bay” scenario as
“pure
fantasy”.
2) I think management is down playing the profit per pound of copper at
Corner Bay. The ore has a grade that is 2x – 3x
higher than
the grades at other similar projects. With all other things
being
equal, that means production costs per pound that are 2x – 3x
CHEAPER. But other things are NOT equal,. The
deposit is
also shallow depth, and that also means cheaper costs.
I think production costs at Corner Bay will be under $1 per
pound,
on an on-going basis. It appears that Campbell likes to lump
together startup costs and ongoing production costs, and come up with a
higher number to give shareholders. I wonder why?
3) Management also seems to be downplaying costs at Copper Rand (but we
have no solid proof of this). They have released some numbers
that show Copper Rand production costs of over $2.00 per pound
copper. But even the Prospectus (released September 2006),
available in Sedar, on page 49, shows that production costs will drop
by HALF after the first few quarters.
Why doesn’t management talk about that?
It’s in the
Prospectus, and the numbers were “signed off” by
various
experts and attorneys.
4) Campbell doesn’t talk much about their exploration
portfolio. It is HUGE – hundreds and hundreds of
exploration claims (maybe close to 1,000 claims), all in the highly
prolific Chibougamau area. Campbell’s stated
corporate
mission is to become a “Mining Consolidator in the
Chibougamau
region”. Not bad for a 15 cent stock.